Smit, E. S., Hoving, C., Schelleman-Offermans, K., West, R., & De Vries H. (2014). Predictors of successful and unsuccessful quit attempts among smokers motivated to quit. Addictive Behaviors, 39(9), 1318-1324. doi: 10.1016/j.addbeh.2014.04.017

 Despite their positive motivation to quit, many smokers do not attempt to quit or relapse soon after their quit attempt. This study investigated the predictors of successful and unsuccessful quit attempts among smokers motivated to quit smoking.
Methods: We conducted secondary data analysis among respondents motivated to quit within six months, randomized to the control group (N = 570) of a web-based smoking cessation intervention study. Using Chi-square tests and ANOVA with Tukey post hoc comparisons, we investigated baseline differences by smoking status (successful quitter/relapse/persistent smoker) assessed after six weeks (N = 214). To identify independent predictors of smoking status, multivariate multinomial logistic regression analyses were conducted.
Results: Successful quitters at six-week follow-up, (26%) had reported significantly higher baseline levels of self-efficacy than relapsers (45%) and persistent smokers (29%). Furthermore, both successful quitters and relapsers had reported a significantly higher baseline intention to quit than persistent smokers and successful quitters had reported significantly more preparatory planning at baseline than persistent smokers. Results from regression analyses showed that smokers’ baseline intention to quit positively predicted quit attempts reported after six weeks, while self-efficacy positively predicted quit attempt success.
Conclusions: Different factors appear to play a role in predicting quit attempts and their success. Whereas intention to quit only appeared to play a role in predicting quit attempts, self-efficacy was the main factor predicting quit attempt success. More research is needed to determine the role of preparatory planning and plan enactment and to investigate whether these findings can be replicated on the long term.

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